We already know that Bernie Sanders has thrown in the towel in South Carolina, and the latest poll reminds us why:
xSo ummm...this new SC poll has Hillary leading Bernie by 50 POINTS (64%-14%) Wow. https://t.co/wHnCN5nSNu…
— Hillary HQ (@Hillary_HQ) February 25, 2016Yeah, that's pretty nuts. A 75%-25% Clinton victory there would be staggering, but let's not go overboard. Something like a 65%-35% win is far more likely, and none of her supporters should complain about that. Whatever the case, get ready to party.
But you don't need to take my word for it. Here's what Nate Silver, America's greatest political statistician, has to say about it over at FiveThirtyEight.com:
Hillary Clinton has a greater than 99% chance of winning the South Carolina primary.
But that's not all. Not even close.
The March polls are coming in so fast and furious right now that it's hard to keep track of them all, so I'll let Nate keep doing the talking. As of this writing, here are Hillary Clinton's upcoming chances according to FiveThirtyEight.com. The most recent polls can be seen on the individual state pages:
March 1st (Super Tuesday):
Hillary Clinton has a greater than 99% chance of winning the Texas primary. Hillary Clinton has a greater than 99% chance of winning the Georgia primary. Hillary Clinton has a greater than 99% chance of winning the Virginia primary. Hillary Clinton has a 98% chance of winning the Arkansas primary. Hillary Clinton has a 98% chance of winning the Tennessee primary. Hillary Clinton has an 82% chance of winning the Massachusetts primary. Hillary Clinton has a 78% chance of winning the Oklahoma primary.
March 8th:
Hillary Clinton has a 97% chance of winning the Michigan primary.
March 15:
Hillary Clinton has a greater than 99% chance of winning the Florida primary. Hillary Clinton has a greater than 99% chance of winning the Illinois primary. Hillary Clinton has a 97% chance of winning the North Carolina primary. Hillary Clinton has a 96% chance of winning the Ohio primary.
But even this doesn't provide the full picture of Hillary's upcoming domination. There are other states voting during in this time where she should also win easily, but there is insufficient polling for 538 to make a prediction: Alabama (March 1), Louisiana (March 5), Mississippi (March 8) and Missouri (March 15).
Meanwhile, the only sure thing for Bernie Sanders is his home state:
Bernie Sanders has a greater than 99% chance of winning the Vermont primary.
I think we can all see where this is headed.
. Originally posted at HillaryHQ.com