Hillary is apparently getting a good bounce out of the stunning and amazing South Carolina primary which she won by a 47.5% margin — 73.5% to 26%.
A pair of Emerson polls conducted partly after the SC primary tell the tale, and has the following result:
TEXAS: Hillary 68%, Bernie 26%. LEAD: 42%
same polling firm from Feb. 24: Hillary 56%, Bernie 40%, 16% lead
MASSACHUSETTS: Hillary 54%, Bernie 43%. LEAD: 11%
same polling firm from Feb. 23: Hillary 46%, Bernie 46%. TIE
Here is the poll article: CLINTON PULLS AWAY FROM SANDERS
TEXASIn the Lone Star State’s Democratic primary, Clinton has dramatically extended her lead over Bernie Sanders. On February 24, Clinton held a 14-point advantage, 56% to 40% but now leads by 40-plus points, 68% to 26%. Sanders’s 63-point edge (81% to 18%) with voters 18-34 plummeted to just 22 points (59% to 37%), and Clinton is crushing him by margins of 49% or more in all other age categories. Support from men is way up; they now favor her 67% to 25% over Sanders, while women give her the nod, 68% to 27%. As was the case in South Carolina last Saturday, Clinton receives overwhelming support from African Americans, 82% to Sanders’s 15% and data suggests that Hispanic/Latino voters were breaking for Clinton by a wide margin, 71% to 16%, among those surveyed.
A Nevada bounce strengthening over the week seems to have been accelerated by South Carolina’s strongly lopsided result to give Hillary a large bounce which shows in this poll. The movement within 5 days between polls from the same firm is massive. Hillary added 26% to her already decent 16% Texas lead here, and has gained strongly in all demogroups.
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MASSACHUSETTS:Clinton Pulls Away in the Bay State In Massachusetts, a State where Bernie Sanders is hoping for a much-needed Super Tuesday win, Clinton has broken a 46-all tie that existed just a week ago and built an 11- point lead, 54% to 43%. She continues to enjoy a large advantage with women (60% to 38%), voters age 55 and up, and those who say the economy is their top concern (57% to 38%). In the last few days Sander’s 24-point edge with likely primary voters ages 18-34 has slipped to 18 points (59% to 41%). His support among men has likewise eroded, from 24 points to four points (50% to 46%). Similarly, a 28-point advantage among independent voters is down to 19 points (58% to 39%) in the latest poll.
It was tied on Feb. 23, and now Hillary has opened up an 11% lead in Massachusetts, according to Emerson. Hillary has gained with all demogroups and strongly made inroads in Bernie’s best demogroups.
Massachusetts is a must-win state for Bernie. If he loses there after pouring a lot of time and money into the state, that would be pure poision for his campaign moving forward.
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On the Republican side:
Texas: Cruz 35%, Trump 32%, Rubio 16%, Kasich 9%, Carson 4%
Massachusetts: Trump 51%, Rubio 20%, Kasich 14%, Cruz 10%, Carson 1%
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Massachusetts and Texas Polls The Emerson College Polling Society polls were both conducted from February 26-28, 2016. The Massachusetts poll consisted of 408 likely GOP primary voters, with a margin of error of +/-4.8%, and the Democratic primary consisted of 670 likely primary voters, with a margin of error of +/-3.7%. The Texas poll consisted of 449 likely GOP primary voters, with a margin of error of +/-4.6%, and the Democratic primary consisted of 275 likely primary voters, with a margin of error of +/-5.9%. Data was collected using an Interactive Voice Response (IVR) system of landlines only and weighted by 2012 general election results, gender and age. The full methodology and results can be found at www.theecps.com.