The Bing Political Index is predicting that Hillary Clinton will win the vast majority of the remaining primary contests in April, including the delegate rich states of New York, Pennsylvania and Maryland. She is also predicted to win the Connecticut and Delaware primaries.
New York Primary-247 Delegates
Latest poll by Fox News has Clinton beating Sanders by double digits in both New York and Pennsylvania. She leads Sanders by a margin of 53-37 in New York. Clinton’s clearly the pick among women (61-30 percent) and non-whites (56-37 percent). Men give the edge to Sanders by just 47-43 percent. Sanders is currently losing among every demographic group with the exception of men and voters under age 45. Clinton holds a 27-point advantage among voters 45 and over (58-31 percent). She leads by a whopping 19 percent in New York City and is also leading in the suburbs and surrounding areas.
Pennsylvania Primary-189 Delegates
Latest Fox News Poll shows that Clinton leads Bernie Sanders 49% to 38%.
Hillary is far ahead with women (54/33) while Bernie edges her among men (45/42). Additionally, Clinton’s lead is much larger among blacks (69/22) than whites (54/33). The educational divide is also evident as Clinton performs better with those that graduated college (55/36) than those that didn’t (43/40).
Clinton wins with residents 45 or older (53/32) while Bernie takes those younger than 45 (55/37).
Maryland Primary-95 Delegates
Clinton leads her rival Bernie Sanders, 55% to 40%, according to the Washington Post/University of Maryland poll. Her support in Maryland mirrors strengths in previous primary contests, leading Sanders among African-American voters, as well as those who identify as moderate and conservative Democrats.
Forecasts by 538
Nate Silver of 538 indicates the following forecasts for the upcoming primaries.
NY: Clinton Victory-98%
PA: Clinton Victory-96%
MD: Clinton Victory-95%
Bernie Sanders Is Even Less Competitive Than He Appears
As of April 11 Clinton maintains a commanding 250 * delegate lead over Sanders. She leads Sanders in the raw vote by a staggering 2.5 million. Clinton’s popular vote lead is forecast to grow by 1.5 million votes to over 3.9 million over Sanders by June. Will super delegates abandon Hillary if somehow Sanders miraculously catches up to Hillary in pledged delegates? Consensus would say no, since Clinton’s lead in the popular vote is so overwhelming.
*Pledged delegates