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President Obama Showed Us How To Win Presidential Elections for a Generation. Why Change That?

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In 2008 Barack Obama won the presidency by over 7% (52.9% to 45.7%) despite the fact that he lost the white vote 55% — 43%. In 2012 he won re-election by a margin of almost 4% (51.1% — 47.2%) despite getting clobbered among the white vote by almost 20% (59% — 39%). In 1988 Michael Dukakis won only 40% of the white vote, but instead of winning like Pres Obama did, he got destroyed, losing the vote 53% — 46%. And the reason for this is simply the changing demographics of this nation.  

In fact, let’s compare the vote breakdown according to race in 1988 versus 2012.

RACE Dukakis 1988 Obama 2012 WHITE BLACK latinx ASIAN OTHER
40%39%
89%93%
70%71%
-73%
-58%

Those are very similar numbers right? Almost shockingly similar. The difference of course, is the relative makeup of the electorate.

RACE 1988 2012 WHITE BLACK latinx ASIAN OTHER
85%72%
10%13%
3%10%
-3%
-2%

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