and most people will tell you that without Florida he cannot win. In fact, if you go play with the states at the bottom of this page at Upshot blog, you will find that if you give FL to Clinton it is game over (because of other states now considered out of reach for Trump, at least as of now).
The article in question was written by Michael Grunwald, for Politico. The title is, apparently, The United States of Trump? and it has a subtitle of “In the battlegrounds of 2016, it’s Obama’s country versus The Donald’s.”
The article is about Florida, and why it is so difficult to imagine Trump having any chance of carrying the state. For starters, there are some basic demographics: Romney carried 39% (versus 27% nationally) of Hispanics but still lost the state by 1%. Trump is polling in the teens. And the Latino population continues to increase as a percentage of the voting population, up at least 2% since the last election, perhaps more, especially given how many people are moving from Puerto Rico (where they are already citizens) to the I-4 corridor. Consider this snip about that area: Demographics here are changing at an almost unimaginable pace: About 1,000 Puerto Ricans fleeing their island’s financial crisis have been arriving every week. Osceola County election supervisor Mary Joe Arrington told me she recently discovered 2,500 new voters, almost all Democratic or unaffiliated, on the rolls in a single Kissimmee-area neighborhood that was already built out. She realized they were mostly Puerto Ricans who had moved in with their extended families, and she’s added a new polling location for November.But there’s more.