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Bloomberg Poll - Clinton up by 9 and gaining key groups (with poll) [Update - fun in the crosstabs]

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Bloomberg has Clinton up by 9 — and gaining in some key groups:

“This poll shows movement toward Clinton with all the right groups it takes to win—including men and those without a college degree,” said pollster J. Ann Selzer, who oversaw the survey ahead of the final debate Wednesday. “Their alignment with Clinton is a formidable change in the algebra.”

After trailing among men throughout the summer, Clinton is now winning 46 percent of their support in a hypothetical two-way race, compared to 44 percent for Trump. She’s ahead among women by 17 points and has a 1-point edge among white women, 46 percent to 45 percent.

This kind of movement towards Hillary makes a recovery by Trump all the more difficult, especially since 6% of polled voters have already cast their ballots.

And this little kicker for fun:

The last time a presidential candidate won the popular vote by more than 9 points was President Ronald Reagan in 1984.

UPDATE: Looking at crosstabs:

-Up 9 points from mid-Sept., when tied

-Obama favs = +11 = great planning for Hillary to link to Obama

-Bill Clinton favs = +3 = not such a great idea to attack the Big Dog

-Michelle favs = +29!!! UP from Sept.

-Hillary favs = 5 point improvement to 48/52 (some odd rounding has them saying 47 but breakout shows 48)

-Party favs = Dems +1; Reps -26 = Good news down ballot?

Finally — 59% of Dems would be PANICKED if Trump won, while only 42% of Trump supporters would feel panicked.  Hopefully that means current rhetoric on the right is only rhetoric.


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