Where I think we are entering the final two weeks

This is NOT intended as a detailed analysis per se, rather a reaction to listening to Morning Joe (yeah, I am a glutton for punishment), scanning several news sites, looking quickly at polling releases by 8 AM this morning, and monitoring my Twitter feed.  It is also includes my own reflection.

First, there is NO closing of the race.  Morning Joe made a big deal of two polls out yesterday and today showing a 5 point race.  Scarborough tried to spin it as a closing, but it is not.  In the case of the latter, it represents a stasis over the past week (it is a weekly tracking poll) which arguably is NOT being shown in other polls over the same period.

What they failed to mention is that the second edition of the ABC Daily Tracker came out, and it held at 50-38, or twelve points.  As they had noted in the first edition of the poll, that represented an expansion of Clinton’s lead from 4 points in the Washington Post/ABC poll done by the same firm one week earlier.

But what was even more revealing is what is inside the poll.  Let me use a tweet from John Harwood to illustrate:

in ABC tracking poll Clinton now leads Trump by 19 points among white college graduates, a group no Democrat has carried in modern elections

That shows the massive problem facing the Republican party right now.

But there is much more.