Three new national polls and Hillary’s lead is increasing. The gap between Clinton and Sanders is fairly consistent among all three pollsters, averaging out to about a +16.7% advantage for Hillary. All polling was completed after Nevada and before her massive South Carolina win. (Polling dates: Feb. 24-27, Feb 24-27 & Feb. 26-27)
Nice bump after Nevada. More to come after South Carolina? Looking good!
YouGov: 55% - 37% (+18)CNN/ORC: 55% - 38% (+17)Morning Consult: 51% - 35% (+15)::
Three states with big leads for Hillary and plenty of delegates at stake. If things hold, Super Tuesday is shaping up to be a very big day for the Clinton campaign.
In the Democratic race, there is a clearer picture. Hillary Clinton leads her lone rival Bernie Sanders among likely Democratic voters by 20 points in Virginia, 24 points in Texas and 28 points in Georgia.
Among PoC, Clinton is leading handily in these three states. +37 among Hispanics in Texas. If the polling is correct, Clinton could win all three states big!
Across the board Clinton’s leads are powered by big advantages among non-white voters, who make up a large share of the electorate in many of the Super Tuesday states. She and Sanders are essentially tied among white voters in each state polled for the Battleground Tracker. But Clinton wins black Democrats by 54 points in Texas, 52 points in Georgia and 49 points in Virginia. In Texas, the only state polled with a large Hispanic population, she leads with the group by 37 points, 68% to 31%.
FiveThirtyEight’s Harry Enten sums up Clinton’s Super Tuesday advantage. If Hillary Clinton performs as the polls suggest, it could be a big day for her delegate wise.
What’s worse for Sanders — of the 865 delegates up for grabs Tuesday, 66 percent come from these six states. An average of polls in each state1 gives Clinton at least a 23 percentage point lead in all of them. These include the two biggest prizes of Super Tuesday: Georgia (102 delegates) where Clinton is up by 39 percentage points and Texas (222 delegates) where Clinton is up by 29 percentage points. If the delegates from these states broke perfectly proportionally based on the polling average, Clinton would end up with a 369 to 202 delegate lead.