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Good morning, everybody. I took my family on a summer vacation, and we are on day 5 of our journey with 3 more days to go. Still was able to find good material for this morning’s HNV.
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Let’s get right to it:
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Index
1. Hillary: “I will bring law enforcement and communities together”
2. Rally with Joe Biden cancelled, postponed
3. National Polls are starting to look very good for Hillary and Democrats
4. State polls: Hillary leads Trump across the battleground states
5. Mother Jones — Kevin Drum: Hillary Clinton’s Poll Numbers Look Nearly Unbeatable
6. Jobs report strongest of 2016, seen as good news for Hillary and Democrats in November
7. Hillary Clinton Rejects F.B.I. Claim That She Was ‘Careless’ With Emails
8. Hillary joined Judy Woodruff on PBS Newshour to talk about police reform
1. Hillary: “I will bring law enforcement and communities together”.
CNN reports about Hillary’s speech to a largely African-American audience at the African Methodist Episcopal Church in Philadelphia where she vowed to bring law enforcement and communities together to work on relationships.
Full Speech:
x YouTube VideoHillary: "I will bring law enforcement and communities together"
Hillary Clinton pledged Friday to bring law enforcement and communities together to develop national guidelines on the use of force by police officers, days after two black men were killed by police officers.
Speaking to a largely African-American audience at the African Methodist Episcopal Church in Philadelphia, Clinton also addressed the fatal shootings of five Dallas officers Thursday night, acknowledging the heightened racial tension in the country. But she also said it was important to acknowledge the "implicit bias" in society and some police departments and, in particular, called on white Americans to empathize with African-Americans. In some police departments open racism and blatant profiling are practiced. That needs to stop and some of the tension that exists between police and African-American communities will ease some. "I will bring law enforcement and communities together to develop national guidelines on the use of force by police officers. We'll make it clear when deadly force is warranted, and when it isn't. And we'll emphasize proven methods for de-escalating situations before we reach that point," she said.The propensity and impulse to shoot first, and in a deadly way, and ask questions later, must stop.
"Second, let's acknowledge that implicit bias still exists across society and even in the best police departments. We have to tackle it together. So in my first budget, I will commit $1 billion to find and fund the best training programs, support new research and make this a national policing priority." Clinton said that as president, she would reduce what she said was "excessive violence" as well as reforming sentencing laws and toughening gun control. She praised the Dallas Police Department and police efforts in general, earning applause from the audience. But she said there was "clear evidence" African-Americans are more likely to be killed in police incidents than any other group of Americans, and said white Americans need to join the fight against racism.Training is sorely needed, as well as reform of sentencing laws and tougher gun controls. Kudos to Hillary to speak to all three of those issues.
"White Americans need to do a better job of listening when African-Americans talk about the seen and unseen barriers you face every day," Clinton said. "We need to try, as best we can, to walk in one another's shoes -- to imagine what it would be like if people followed us around stores or locked their car doors when we walked past ... or, if every time our children went to play in the park, or just to the store to buy iced tea and Skittles, we said a prayer: 'Please God, don't let anything happen to my baby.'"
x"I will bring law enforcement and communities together to develop national guidelines on the use of force by police officers." —Hillary
— Hillary Clinton (@HillaryClinton) July 8, 2016 xThere is clear evidence that black Americans are more likely to be killed in police incidents than any other group. We have to do better.
— Hillary Clinton (@HillaryClinton) July 8, 2016 xThere is something wrong with our country. There is too much violence...too much senseless killing, too many people dead who shouldn’t be.
— Hillary Clinton (@HillaryClinton) July 8, 2016 x"In my first budget, I'll commit $1 billion to find and fund the best training programs [and] support new research." —Hillary
— Hillary Clinton (@HillaryClinton) July 8, 2016.
As a result of the developments in Dallas a joint rally with Joe Biden was cancelled and postponed.
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2. Rally with Joe Biden cancelled, postponedClinton event with Biden postponed in Scranton
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Hillary Clinton on Friday postponed her first campaign appearance with Vice President Joe Biden in Scranton, Pennsylvania, following the fatal shootings of police officers in Dallas. Her GOP rival Donald Trump also scrapped campaign events for the day.
Clinton's campaign said that "due to the tragic events in Dallas" the Scranton event and a local fundraiser with Biden will be postponed. The Democratic presidential candidate is expected to address the shootings later Friday during an appearance with the African Methodist Episcopal Convention in Philadelphia, her campaign said.
No word yet on when the joint appearance with Joe Biden will be made up.
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3. National Polls are starting to look very good for Hillary and DemocratsWhat we are seeing in polls pitting Hillary against Donald Trump looks very encouraging.
Yesterday Pew Research Center released its poll and it shows a 9% lead. Other polls released that same day, Democracy Corps and Reuters/Ipsos show a 11% and 10% lead, respectively.
CBS reports:
Hillary Clinton takes 9-point lead over Donald Trump in new national poll
Hillary Clinton leads Donald Trump by nine percentage points nationally, according to a new survey released by the Pew Research Center.
The poll, released Thursday, found just over half of registered voters, 51 percent, support Clinton while 42 percent back Trump. In a three-way race involving Libertarian nominee Gary Johnson, Clinton would win 45 percent of the vote, Trump would get 36 percent of the vote and 11 percent would back Johnson.
No change if the field is expanded.
Voters view Clinton as the better candidate to handle race relations, healthcare, selecting Supreme Court justices and making foreign policy decisions, the poll found. But they're split over which candidate can better handle terrorism and the economy.
Better on race relations, selecting Supreme Court justices, making FP decision and tied on terrorism.
The survey found 56 percent of registered voters believe Clinton is "personally qualified to be president" and 30 percent said the same about Trump. More than half also said that Clinton "would use good judgment in a crisis" and 36 percent said the same about Trump.
The poll surveyed 2,245 adults, including 1,655 registered voters, between June 15 and 26 with a 2.7 percentage point margin of error for the group of registered voters.
More details from the poll:
As has been the case in recent campaigns, there are stark racial and ethnic differences in candidate support. Trump leads among white, non-Hispanic voters (51%-42%), while Clinton has an overwhelming advantage among African Americans (91%-7%).
Clinton also holds a wide, 66%-24% advantage among Hispanic voters. This is on par with Barack Obama’s lead among Hispanics at similar points in the past two campaigns. The survey included an oversample of Hispanics: 543 Hispanics were interviewed in English and Spanish, including 274 Hispanic registered voters. For more, see Hispanic voters and the 2016 election. (Overall data are weighted to general population parameters; seeMethodology for more details.)
Democracy Corps poll shows 11 percent lead:
CLINTON AND CONGRESSIONAL DEMOCRATS WIDEN LEAD OVER OPPONENTS
Hillary Clinton leads Donald Trump by 11 points in Democracy Corps’ most recent national survey (48 percent to 37 percent, with 8 percent voting for Libertarian Gary Johnson). This survey of 900 likely 2016 voters was conducted June 23-28th with 66 percent of respondents reached on cell phones. [1]
Importantly, this is the first time that we have seen the presidential vote margin for Democrats exceed the Democrats’ party identification advantage: in this case, Democrats hold a 6-point advantage in party identification and an 8-point advantage with Republican and Democratic leaning-independents.
This poll also shows Democrats making gains down-ballot. In a named congressional ballot, Democratic congressional candidates have opened an 8-point lead over Republican congressional candidates (49 to 41 percent). This is up from a 6-point advantage over the Republican candidates in March polling, and the greatest margin for congressional Democrats that we have measured since June 2009 in our polling. This is also the same margin achieved during the wave elections of 2006 and 2008.
Democrats as a party are gaining, in named ballots ahead by 8% now. That is a good sign for potential down ballot success. We might be seeing a wave election if these numbers hold.
Democracy Corps conducted a poll of 900 likely voters across the nation from June 23rd – 28th. Sixty-six percent of the surveys were completed among cell phone respondents. The margin of error is +/- 3.27 percentage points. Margin of error is higher among subgroups.
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4. State polls: Hillary leads Trump across the battleground statesGreenberg/Quinlan/Rosner research conducted battleground state polls, and while there are a few surprises in the mix it points to a strong showing for us in November.
Detailed Poll analysis from Democracy Corps:
Clinton leads Trump across the battleground
The 9 identified battleground states polled:
Particularly striking are the findings for Florida, where Hillary blows Trump away by 13%, and North Carolina, where Hillary shows a solid 10% lead. On the flip side, Ohio shows a 1% lead for Trump (basically a tie) and Nevada has it +3% for Trump. Both of those are likely to go for Hillary in the end, but obviously can’t be taken for granted. But, to be that far ahead in Florida is great news. Looks like Florida is going blue this November, and, basically, that would be the election right there.
This poll has some other very interesting findings in its analysis, so I encourage a closer look, here.
To that end Mother Jones’ Kevin Drum opined that the polls make Hillary look nearly unbeatable
5. Mother Jones’ Kevin Drum: Hillary Clinton's Poll Numbers Look Nearly UnbeatableHillary Clinton's Poll Numbers Look Nearly Unbeatable
Pew has another of its surveys out, this time a fairly generic presidential poll. They do this in June every four years, and they have a pretty good track record. Without further ado, here are the topline results:Hillary Clinton is 9 points ahead of Donald Trump regardless of whether Gary Johnson is in the race. A subsequent question makes clear there's very little wiggle room here: among voters who support a candidate, nearly all of them say their choice is firm. Bottom line: there are very few undecided voters—who will probably break pretty evenly anyway—and everyone else says their minds are solidly made up.
So does Trump have a chance? Sure—though it's slipping away. Voters are pretty non-thrilled with their choices this year, which means that turnout could make an even bigger difference than usual. But running a ground game requires lots of money and great organization, both of which Trump lacks. At this point, then, it looks like Trump's only real chance is some kind of dramatic external event that suddenly turns voters his way. But I'm no longer sure what that could be. Serious economic problems are unlikely over the next 17 weeks, and terrorist attacks don't seem to help him in the polls. So what is there?
Overall economic optimism is back to where it was in 2008, before the Great Recession. That's not very fertile soil for Trump's campaign. Add to that his apparently inability to hold a coherent thought for more than a few minutes at a time, and it's really hard to see a way for him to make up his current polling deficit.
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6. Jobs report strongest of 2016, seen as good news for Hillary and Democrats in NovemberVox reports:
Good news for Hillary Clinton: June's job report was the strongest of 2016
The US economy gained 287,000 jobs in June, the strongest monthly result of 2016. The unexpectedly strong result helps put to rest fears of the US economy tipping into recession — a recession that would have been bad for Hillary Clinton’s chances of capturing the White House in November.
In recent years, the economy has gained about 200,000 jobs in a typical month. That’s more than enough to keep up with population growth, which is why the unemployment rate has been gradually declining over the past few years.
Good economic news means bad news for Donald Trump and the GOP.
May’s job numbers were weak, but that appears to have been a blip:
However, a single month of bad jobs data can simply be statistical noise — and that appears to have been the explanation for May’s poor results. In today’s release, the Bureau of Labor Statistics actually revised the May figure down further to 11,000 jobs. But the strong June result suggests that May’s numbers weren’t the start of a larger trend.
The latest report also includes some other moderately good news. Workers’ wages grew at a respectable 2.6 percent over the past year — slightly better than the rate of inflation:
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7. Hillary Clinton Rejects F.B.I. Claim That She Was ‘Careless’ With EmailsHillary Clinton Rejects F.B.I. Claim That She Was ‘Careless’ With Emails
Hillary Clinton on Friday rejected the F.B.I.’s assertion that she had been “extremely careless” with classified material as secretary of state, offering her first public comments on the matter since the Justice Department closed its inquiry without bringing charges against her this week.
In interviews on CNN and MSNBC, Mrs. Clinton tried to put the controversy surrounding her use of a private email server to rest, brushing off a rebuke from James Comey, the F.B.I. director, who had criticized her for being negligent.
Comey engaged in highly questionable politicizing of his “commentary” about the non-indictment. He is a partisan Republican, after all. Hillary’s push back against Comey’s verbal rebuke is warranted.
“I think there are about 300 people in the government, mostly in the State Department, but in other high positions in the government with whom I emailed over the course of four years — they, I believe, did not believe they were sending any material that was classified,” Mrs. Clinton said on CNN. “They were pursuing their responsibilities. I do not think they were careless.”
She added, “And as I have said many times, I certainly did not believe that I received or sent any material that was classified.”
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8. Hillary joined Judy Woodruff on PBS Newshour to talk about police reformHillary Clinton calls for police reform, national use of force standards
x YouTube Video.
Full Transcript of Interview:
JUDY WOODRUFF: We return to the events in Dallas and the violence involving police across the country this week.
And we get the perspective of the presumptive Democratic presidential nominee, Hillary Clinton.
We also invited Donald Trump. He declined, but we hope to talk with him soon.
I spoke with the Secretary Clinton a short time ago.
Welcome, Secretary Clinton.
As I talk to you, we’re hearing about still more attacks on the police in this country.
Why do you think it is, more than 50 years after the height of the civil rights movement, that we’re seeing events in this country like what we have witnessed this week?
HILLARY CLINTON (D), Presumptive Presidential Nominee: Judy, I wish I could answer that question. I have thought so much about it.
And I’m not sure of all the reasons why we are witnessing this kind of violence. And we have got to look at it broadly. What happened in Dallas, what’s happening to other police officers in our country is absolutely outrageous.
We have got to do much more to protect and respect the police. And we have to do much more to make sure that citizens in our country, particularly African-Americans, feel respected and protected by the police.
I think we have got to listen to each other. We need a conversation. White people need to be listening to African-Americans about what it feels like to live with, you know, fear and anxiety, to be profiled, to worry about what will happen to their children when they go out to play or out on a date or go for a drive.
We have to listen to the fears of our police officers, who get up every day and do a dangerous job, like the police in Dallas who ran toward the shooting when it broke out after a peaceful protest.
I’m going to do everything I can in this campaign to try to find common ground, bring people together. And I have got some specific ideas about what we can do for criminal justice reform. We need national guidelines about the use of force, particularly lethal force.
We need to work with the 18,000 police departments in our country, some of whom are real models and others should be learning from about how they de-escalate tension, rather than turning a routine traffic stop into a killing.
And, of course, we need to investigate the implicit bias that, unfortunately, too many of us still have. And when it’s an implicit bias in a police officer, it can lead to an escalating situation.
So, we have got work to do. Certainly, our elected officials, our leaders in our communities, but really all of us as Americans have a stake in trying to listen respectfully to each other and, you know, really try to find ways we can contribute to ending this violence that is stalking our nation.
JUDY WOODRUFF: So, are you saying you think you could make more progress on this than an African-American president who has made improving race relations a priority of his administration?
HILLARY CLINTON : Well, I think President Obama has done an extraordinary job in trying to explain and provide information to anyone who’s willing to listen about the inequities and the difficulties that are being confronted by so many of our fellow Americans.
His policing commission that he put together after Ferguson, Missouri, has excellent recommendations, but not enough police departments have followed them. And I want to put money in the budget when I’m president to make it possible for every police department to implement these important reforms.
And I think, too, there has got to be a national conversation. And it can’t be just elected officials. We need people in communities talking to each other. You know, during the primary campaign in Kentucky, I had a wonderful experience one Sunday morning going to an African-American church.
And it just so happened, the day I was there, they were being visited by a white church. So, you had a mixed choir. You had both preachers addressing the congregation. You had people shaking hands and exchanging views and talking about their lives.
You know, that may sound easy, but it’s hard in lots of places in our country. And it needs to happen not just on Sunday. It needs to happen every day.
And, as a white person, I want to make clear that whites have to listen. We have to recognize, you know, many of the fears and anxieties that our African-American, our Latino and others in our society feel. We saw the terrible shooting at the Pulse nightclub in Orlando, our LGBT friends.
I mean, this cuts across so many of the divides in our country. And it should send a clarion call to every single one of us. We do not want to live like this. We don’t want people, any American, living in fear. We don’t want our police living in fear.
And if we want to end that, we’re going to have to work together.
JUDY WOODRUFF: Madam Secretary, we also want to ask you about the FBI report that came out this week.
We heard the director, James Comey, say they were not going to recommend criminal charges against you, but he said that you and your colleagues at the State Department were, in his words, extremely careless in the handling of very sensitive, highly classified information.
Do you believe you benefited from a double standard, that ordinary government employees experience one sort of treatment and a different one for you?
HILLARY CLINTON: No, not at all.
In fact, I think Director Comey made exactly the opposite point in his long testimony yesterday, that those who somehow hoped that action would be taken are the ones who were hoping for a double standard.
He made very clear there was no basis for going forward. And he also clarified what he said in his statement.
You know, with respect to the handling of classified material, I take it very seriously, and the 300 or so people with whom I e-mailed on the course of my time in the State Department do as well. These are experienced diplomats. They have expertise in handling classified material. They were not careless.
And the material that they sent to me, they didn’t believe was classified. The very, very few examples that Director Comey pointed to have also been clarified, as he accounted yesterday. The State Department has said two of the three that he had pointed to were human error. They were not to be classified.
So, I’m very proud of the work that we did over four years. And I’m very proud of our diplomats and our other professionals, who have to act in real time. They are responding to heads of state, to press inquiries. And they are doing the best they can. I do not believe they were careless. I do not believe that they sent material that they thought was classified, and certainly no finding of anything intentional was made after this investigation.
JUDY WOODRUFF: Last question, then. Do you think Director Comey erred in calling it — in saying it was extremely careless?
And I ask that because one of the arguments you make in your comparison with Donald Trump is that you, as a president, would be more competent than he would be in the White House.
HILLARY CLINTON: Well, I think there is a lot of evidence to that, based on eight years as a senator handling a lot of classified material, based as four years as a secretary of state, handling classified material, which, in my view, didn’t include what was sent on an unclassified system, and certainly was the judgment of the hundreds of people with experience and expertise who dealt with me.
But, look, I am grateful for the professionalism of the FBI and the Department of Justice. And I repeat that I made a mistake using personal e-mail, and I regret that very much.
But I think, if one looks at the totality of my public service and the very difficult decisions that I grappled with, from bin Laden to the Iran sanctions and so much more, people can count on me to do the job that is required.
JUDY WOODRUFF: Secretary Hillary Clinton, we thank you for talking to us on this day.
HILLARY CLINTON: Thank you very much, Judy.
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I close this Saturday’s HNV with the latest reflective tweets from Hillary:
xWhite Americans need to do a better job of listening when African Americans talk about the barriers they face.https://t.co/rmzeEG5HoC
— Hillary Clinton (@HillaryClinton) July 9, 2016 x"When the 24-hour news cycle moves on, I won’t.†—Hillary on preventing gun violence and addressing racial injustice
— Hillary Clinton (@HillaryClinton) July 8, 2016 x"Let’s ask ourselves, what can I do to stop violence and promote justice? How can I show that your life matters to me?" —Hillary
— Hillary Clinton (@HillaryClinton) July 8, 2016 x"Elie Wiesel once clarified for us that 'the opposite of love is not hate—it’s indifference.' ... None of us can afford to be indifferent."
— Hillary Clinton (@HillaryClinton) July 8, 2016 xWhite Americans need to do a better job of listening when African Americans talk about the seen and unseen barriers you face every day.
— Hillary Clinton (@HillaryClinton) July 8, 2016 xWe cannot, must not, vilify police officers. Remember what those officers were doing when they died. They were protecting a peaceful march.
— Hillary Clinton (@HillaryClinton) July 8, 2016